Friday, February 15, 2008

100% chance of rain (they SAY)

It's been very dry so far this year. Several times probable showers have been predicted, but have come to naught. However, tomorrow the weather service has said 100% chance of thunderstorms, some heavy. We'll see. There were widespread light showers today in advance af the main event, but none in Denton. Sometimes I think we have a mystical force shield. I watch the weather underground animated radar, and the rainclouds approach Denton, split around us, and go on their way. There is now, at 11:35 pm, thunder and lightning to the southeast out my window, So maybe it will happen. Maybe I should go unplug the airport. All very well that I'm typing on an un-plugged-in laptop; there are electronics plugged in still.




11:50 — rain started a few minutes ago, tapered off, came again — light so far. Thunder has quit. I think I'll gamble that the airport base won't get fried if I keep using it.

This is not rain associated with the cold front like I learned in junior high — that was I guess the rain we didn't participate in earlier today (today was in the upper thirties and cloudy all day, while yesterday was sunny and 70°F.) According to the NWS forecaster, this is the source of the rain expected tomorrow:

" Believe the main threat for the
next few hours will remain south of the County Warning Area where the boundary
resides and instability is greater. Instability over North Texas
will really begin to increase Saturday morning into the afternoon
as the upper level low approaches and the warm sector surges
north. New model data so far is still showing the warm sector
surging as far north as I-20 by middle Saturday afternoon with a
tornado threat in the far southeastern counties of North Texas. "


Well, at least we'll get enough to get wet. It rains a bit, stops a bit, rains a bit. Some lightning continues to the SE. Maybe the liverworts on the road bank at the Ridge will get enough to green up before the Neimans visit on Monday.

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